The panel of American Planning Association experts recommended the Vision for San Diego plan on a 40 year time horizon, to correspond with the 2050 Climate Change Report and other efforts. A local consultant disagreed, saying the Vision should plan for 50 to 100 years in the future.
What is the appropriate time horizon for the Vision, and why?
(click on "Let's Imagine..." above to see video from the convening)
Friday, December 18, 2009
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SANDAG is making a 30 year plan for the region. It doesn't seem like much of a value added undertaking if the Vision plans for 10 years more than they do. Also, I wouldn't say that it is necessary to have perfect forecasts to plan for what we imagine for the future; in that sense, we don't need to line up our time horizon with other planning efforts. In that sense, I agree with Peter MacCracken, who thought it should be longer. 100 years out is hard to fathom, since that won't even be in my children's lifetimes. I think planning for 75 years into the future is far enough out to be visionary and distinct, while not so far as to be completely ethereal.
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